Working papers and other work on progress
Here is a list of paper and other items of work in progress at varying levels of maturity. Most of them have been presented at some conference, however, for some of them there is no paper yet, but only a presentation. Not all of these works in progress can be considered in the "pipeline" since they may be about to become outdated. Let me know if you like to see them published anyway :)
- Elff, Martin. 2026. “The Transformation of Political Competition in Western Europe: Which Dimensions Gain and Which Loose Importance?”.
- Elff, Martin. 2026. “The Dilmma Between a Maximal and a Stable Majority - How Gerrymanderers Cannot Have Their Cake and Eat It”.
- Elff, Martin. 2026. “Is the Treatment Worse than the Disease? Average Marginal Effects, Linear Probability Models and the Incomparability of Coefficients in Logistic Regression”. 📚
- Elff, Martin and William Lowe. 2024. “Non-ignorable nonlinearity in the scaling of political texts”.
- Elff, Martin and Sigrid Roßteutscher. 2024. “Gendered Cleavage Voting? The Role of Class and Religion for Voting for Christian Democrats, Social Democrats, the Greens and right-wing populists in a long-term perspective”.
- Elff, Martin. 2023. “Models for multicategorical responses - Testing the hypothesis of constant probability”.
- Elff, Martin. 2022. “The RiLe Index of Party Ideology - A Reductio”. 📚
- Elff, Martin. 2022. “Much Ado About Not Very Much? Clarifying the Confusion about Models for Categorical Dependent Variables”. 📚
- Elff, Martin and Sigrid Roßteutscher. 2022. “Education as a new cleavage? The relevance of class, education, and income in a long-term perspective”. 📚
- Elff, Martin. 2021. “Valence or Position? Both! A Unified Conception of Party Competition and Its Implication for the Model-Based Reconstruction of Parties’ Political Profiles from Their Manifestos”. 📚
- Rajski, Hannah and Martin Elff. 2021. “Political Context and the Formation of Party Identification in the United States”. 📚
- Elff, Martin. 2019. “Consideration Sets and Finite Mixtures: A New Approach to the Analysis of Strategic Voting”. 📚
- Elff, Martin. 2018. “Strategic Voting and Ticket-Splitting in Mixed Electoral Systems: A Finite-Mixture Approach Applied to the Case of Germany”. 📚
- Elff, Martin. 2017. “Party Families Beyond Left and Right: Contrasting Conceptions of Party Ideology”. 📚
- Elff, Martin, Spyros Kosmidis, and Andras Murr. 2014. “Campaign Dynamics and Mixed Incentives for Strategic Voting:The Case of the UK Parliamentary Elections of 2010”. 📚
- Elff, Martin. 2013. “On the Distinctiveness of Party Families”. 📚
- Elff, Martin. 2009. “Political Knowledge in Comparative Perspective: The Problem of Cross-National Equivalence of Measurement”. 📚