Projects and work in progress

On this page you find some information that I currently do active research on. You will also find some links to working papers I am confident enough to share them.

Social structure and electoral behaviour

How and why citizens from different social groups defined by class position and religious adherence vote in different ways, is a focus of my research since I started working on my doctoral thesis.

Elff, Martin, Sigrid Roßteutscher, and Christof Wolf. 2020 [forthcoming]. "Dealignment, Realignment, or Both? The Transformation of Social Cleavages in Germany". The Changing German Voter, ed. by Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck, Sigrid Roßteutscher, Harald Schoen, Bernhard Weßels, and Christof Wolf. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Elff, Martin. 2019. "Class Voting, Working Class Turnout and the Rise of Populism". Presented the 4th International ESS Conference, 15-17 April 2019 at the University of Mannheim.

Elff, Martin. 2019. "New Patterns of Socio-Political Cleavage? Parties’ Positions and Social Divisions in Western Europe". Presented the EPOP 2019, 13-15 September 2019 at the University of Strathclyde.

Elff, Martin and Sigrid Roßteutscher. 2019. "Von De-alignment zu Re-alignment? Die Transformation sozialer Konfliktlinien in Ost- und Westdeutschland". Presented at the annual meeting of the ``AK Wahlen und politische Einstellung'' of the DVPW (German Political Science Association), 9-10 May 2019 at the University of Mannheim.

Elff, Martin. 2015. "The Crisis of Social Democracy and the Political Demobilisation of the Working Class in Germany". Presented at the European Political Science Association 5th Annual General Conference, 25-27 June 2015, Schloss Schönbrunn Apothekertrakt and Springer Schlößl, Vienna.

Parties’ positions and ideologies

Elff, Martin. 2017. "How Should We Extract Parties' Political Positions from their Manifestos? Problems of Conventional Approaches and their Solution Based on a Dynamic Idealpoint Model". Last presented at European Political Science Association 7th Annual Conference, 22-24 June 2017, Palazzo delle Stelline, Milano.

Elff, Martin. 2017. "Party Families Beyond Left and Right: Contrasting Conceptions of Party Ideology". Presented at European Political Science Association 7th Annual Conference, 22-24 June 2017, Palazzo delle Stelline, Milano.

Tactical voting

Elff, Martin. 2019. "Consideration Sets and Finite Mixtures: A New Approach to the Analysis of Strategic Voting". Last presented at the First Annual Conference of the Political Methodology Group of the Political Studies Association, 27. Juni 2016, University College London, last submitted to a journal summer 2019.

Elff, Martin. 2019. "Strategic Voting and Ticket-Splitting in Mixed Electoral Systems: A Finite-Mixture Approach Applied to the Case of Germany". Last presented DAGStat 2019 ``Statistics under one umbrella'' 5th joint statistical meeting, 18-22 March, LMU Munich.

Elff, Martin, Spyros Kosmidis, and Andras Murr. 2016. "Campaign Dynamics and Mixed Incentives for Strategic Voting:The Case of the UK Parliamentary Elections of 2010". Last presented at EPOP (Elections Public Opinion and Parties) Annual Conference, 9-12 September 2016, University of Kent, Canterbury.

Methodological issues in multilevel analysis

Elff, Martin, Jan Paul Heisig, Merlin Schaeffer, and Susumu Shikano. 2020. "Multilevel Analysis with Few Clusters: Improving Likelihood-based Methods to Provide Unbiased Estimates and Accurate Inference". British Journal of Political Science Online first.

Elff, Martin, Jan Paul Heisig, Merlin Schaeffer, and Susumu Shikano. 2020. "Rejoinder to Daniel Stegmueller’s Comments". British Journal of Political Science Online first.

Data management in R: A guide for social scientists

Elff, Martin. 2020 (forthcoming). Data Management with R: A Guide for Social Scientists. London: Sage.