Current working papers

(Dates mark last version or prospective publication date)

Elff, Martin. 2019. "Class Voting, Working Class Turnout and the Rise of Populism". In preparation for the 4th International ESS Conference, 15-17 April 2019 at the University of Mannheim.

Elff, Martin, Sigrid Roßteutscher, and Christof Wolf. 2019. "From De-alignment to Re-alignment? The Transformation of Social Cleavages in Germany". In preparation for an upcoming volume "The Changing German Voter" edited by Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck, Sigrid Roßteutscher, Harald Schoen, Bernhard Weßels and Christof Wolf and published by Oxford University Press.

Elff, Martin. 2018. "Consideration Sets and Finite Mixtures: A New Approach to the Analysis of Strategic Voting". Presented at the First Annual Conference of the Political Methodology Group of the Political Studies Association, 27. Juni 2016, University College London; DAGStat 2016 Gemeinsame Tagung der Deutschen Arbeitsgemeinschaft für Statistik, 14.-18. März 2016, Georg-August-Universität Göttingen Annual National Conference of the Midwest Political Association, 3-6 April 2014, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois (under a different title).

Elff, Martin. 2018. "Strategic Voting and Ticket-Splitting in Mixed Electoral Systems: A Finite-Mixture Approach Applied to the Case of Germany". Presented at the ECPR General Conference, 23-25 August 2018, Universität Hamburg; European Political Science Association 8th Annual Conference, 21-23 June 2018, Schloss Schönbrunn Apothekertrakt, Vienna.

Elff, Martin. 2017. "How Should We Extract Parties' Political Positions from their Manifestos? Problems of Conventional Approaches and their Solution Based on a Dynamic Idealpoint Model". Presented at European Political Science Association 7th Annual Conference, 22-24 June 2017, Palazzo delle Stelline, Milano; Annual Conference of the Political Methodology Group of the Political Studies Association, 13 January 2017, University of Oxford; Manifesto Project User Conference, 4-5 June 2015, WZB Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung.

Elff, Martin. 2017. "Party Families Beyond Left and Right: Contrasting Conceptions of Party Ideology". Presented at European Political Science Association 7th Annual Conference, 22-24 June 2017, Palazzo delle Stelline, Milano.

Christian, Breunig, Martin Elff, and Samuel G. Workman. 2016. "The Dynamics of Policy Change". Presented at the European Political Science Association 6th Annual Conference, 23-25 June 2016, Square-Brussels Meeting Centre, Brussels.

Elff, Martin, Spyros Kosmidis, and Andras Murr. 2016. "Campaign Dynamics and Mixed Incentives for Strategic Voting:The Case of the UK Parliamentary Elections of 2010". Presented at the European Political Science Association 6th Annual Conference, 23-25 June 2016, Square-Brussels Meeting Centre, Brussels; EPOP (Elections Public Opinion and Parties) Annual Conference, 9-12 September 2016, University of Kent, Canterbury.

Elff, Martin. 2015. "The Crisis of Social Democracy and the Political Demobilisation of the Working Class in Germany". Presented at the European Political Science Association 5th Annual General Conference, 25-27 June 2015, Schloss Schönbrunn Apothekertrakt and Springer Schlößl, Vienna.