The long-term relation between turnout and electoral support for social democracts in Germany

27 June 2015

At the 5th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association I had the opportunity to present a paper entitled “The Crisis of Social Democracy and the Political Demobilisation of the Working Class in Germany”. In this paper I analyse the dual decline of turnout in Germany and of the support for the German Social Democratic Party (SPD). I show that both changes are linked and concentrated in a core group of SPD supporters, the manual working class.

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SPD intention and intention to abstain from federal election, broken down by class, ALLBUS 1980–2014